FY04 ESIG Publications
Note: bold denotes university affiliation; * denotes non-university, non-NCAR affiliation
Buddemeier, R.W., J.A. Kleypas, and R.B. Aronson, 2004: Coral Reefs & Global Climate Change: Potential Contributions of Climate Change to Stresses on Coral Reef Ecosystems. Arlington, VA: Pew Center on Global Climate Change.
Committee on Setting Priorities for NSF-Sponsored Large Research Facility Projects (including R.J. Serafin), 2004: Setting Priorities for Large Research Facility Projects Supported by the National Science Foundation. National Research Council. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
Downton, M.W., J.Z. Barnard Miller, and R.A. Pielke Jr., 2004: A reanalysis of the US National Weather Service flood loss database. Natural Hazards Review (accepted for publication).
Downton, M.W., and R.A. Pielke Jr., 2004: How accurate are disaster loss data? The case of U.S. flood damage. Natural Hazards (accepted for publication).
Glantz, M.H., 2004: The Aral Sea. In: Encyclopedia of World Environmental History (S. Krech III, J.R. McNeill, and C. Merchant, eds.). Great Barrington, MA: Berkshire Publishing, 61-63.
Glantz, M.H., 2004: El Niño and La Niña. In: Encyclopedia of World Environmental History (S. Krech III, J.R. McNeill, and C. Merchant, eds.).Great Barrington, MA: Berkshire Publishing, 426-429.
Glantz, M.H., 2004: Problem climates or problem societies? Essay in The Global Climate System: Patterns, Processes and Teleconnections (J.E. Oliver and H.A. Bridgman, eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press (in press).
Glantz, M.H., 2004: Climate Affairs, Desertification, and El Niño. Three entries in Encyclopedia of World Climatology (J.E. Oliver and H.A. Bridgman, eds.), in the Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series. Lancaster, UK: Springer (in press).
Glantz, M.H., 2004: Forecasting El Niño:
Science's Gift to the Twenty-First Century (in four versions:
Africa in English and French; Latin America
in English and Spanish). Geneva: World Climate Programme,
World Meteorological Organization.
Gommes, R., J. du Guerny, M.H. Glantz, and L-N Hsu,
and HIV/AIDS: A Hotspots Analysis for Early Warning Rapid
Response Systems. Bangkok: UN Development Programme,
Southeast Asia HIV and Development Programme.
Hayes, M.J., O.V. Wilhelmi, and C.L. Knutson, 2004: Reducing drought risk: Bridging theory and practice. Natural Hazards Review, 5(2), 106-113.
Hayhoe, K., L. Kalkstein, S. Moser, and N. Miller, 2004: Rising Heat and Risks to Human Health: Technical Appendix. Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists.
Imhoff, M.L., L. Bounoua, T. Ricketts, C. Loucks, R. Harriss, and W.T. Lawrence, 2004: Global patterns in human consumption of net primary production. Nature, doi:10.1038/nature02685.
Katz, R.W., 2004: Review of Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide to Atmospheric Science (I.T. Jolliffe and D.B. Stephenson, eds.). Biometrics, 60, 566-567.
Katz, R.W., G.S. Brush, and M.B. Parlange, 2004: Statistics of extremes: Modeling ecological disturbances. (PDF) Ecology (in press).
Kleypas, J.A., 2004: Constraints on predicting coral reef response to climate change. Chapter in: R. Aronson (eds.), Geological Approaches to Coral Reef Ecology. New York: Springer Verlag (in press).
Kleypas, J.A., 2004: Coral reefs and climate. Entry in Encyclopedia of World Climatology (J.E. Oliver and H.A. Bridgman, eds.), in the Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series. Lancaster, UK: Springer (in press).
Mearns, L.O., G. Carbone, R.M. Doherty, E. Tsvetsinskaya, B.A. McCarl, R.M. Adams, and L. McDaniel, 2003: The uncertainty due to spatial scale of climate scenarios in integrated assessments: An example from U.S. agriculture. Integrated Assessment, 4(4), 225-235.
Meehl, G.A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305(5686), 994-997.
Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi and D. Nychka, 2004: Changes in frost days in simulations of twenty-first century climate. Climate Dynamics, 23(5), 495-511.
Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, C.M. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, T.M.L. Wigley, and C. Tebaldi, 2004: Combinations of natural and anthropogenic forcings in twentieth-century climate. J. Climate, 17(19), 3721-3727.
Miller, K.A., and G.R. Munro, 2004: Climate and cooperation:
A new perspective on the management of shared fish stocks.
Marine Resource Economics, 19(3) (in press).
Miller, K.A., and D. Yates, 2004: Climate Change and Water Resources: A Primer for Water Utilities. Denver, CO: Awwa Research Foundation (accepted for publication).
Morss, R.E., 2004: Problem definition in atmospheric public policy: The example of observing system design for weather prediction. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. (accepted for publication).
Morss, R.E., and D.S. Battisti, 2004: Evaluating observing requirements for ENSO prediction: Experiments with an intermediate coupled model. J. Climate, 17, 3057-3073. (PDF)
Morss, R.E. and D.S. Battisti, 2004: Designing efficient observing networks for ENSO prediction. J. Climate, 17, 3074-3089. (PDF)
Morss, R.E., K.A. Miller, and M.S. Vasil, 2004: A systematic economic approach to evaluating public investment in observations for weather forecasting. Monthly Weather Review (in press).
Moser, S., 2004: Climate change and sea-level rise in Maine and Hawaii: The changing tides of an issue domain. In: W.C. Clark et al. (eds.), Information as Infuence: How Institutions shape the Impact of Technical Knowledge on the Development of Transboundary Environmental Issues. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press (accepted for publication).
Moser, S. and L. Dilling, 2004: Making climate hot: Communicating the urgency and challenge of global climate change. Environment, 46(10), 32-46. (PDF linked with permission)
Moser, S., K. Hayhoe, and M. Wander, 2004: Climate change in the Hawkeye State: Potential impacts on Iowa communities and ecosystems. Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists.
*Nihoul, J., N. Aladin, and M.H. Glantz, 2004: Special issue of Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, consisting of papers dealing with environmental projects, strategies international planning, expectations, and questions from a sustainable development perspective (in press).
Shui, B., and H. Dowlatabadi, 2004: Consumer lifestyles approach to U.S. energy use and CO2 emissions. Energy Policy (accepted for publication).
Tebaldi, C., R.L. Smith, D. Nychka, and L.O. Mearns, 2004: Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensembles. J. Climate (in press).
Wilhelmi, O., and T. Betancourt, 2004: Evolution of NCAR GIS Initiative: Demonstration of GIS interoperability. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc. (in press).
Wilhelmi, O.V., K.L. Purvis, and R.C. Harriss, 2004: Designing a geospatial information infrastructure for the mitigation of heat wave hazards in urban areas. Natural Hazards Review, 5(3), 147-158.
Glantz, M.H., 2004: Usable Science 8: Early Warning Systems: Do's and Don'ts. Report of the Workshop held 20-23 October 2003 in Shanghai, China. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research.
Hayhoe, K. et al. (including S. Moser), 2004: Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 101(34), doi:10.1073/pnas.0404500101.
Miller, K.A., G.R. Munro, and T. Bjørndal, 2004: Climate, competition, and the management of shared fish stocks. Paper No. 133, Proceedings, IIFET 2004 Japan Conference. Corvallis, OR: International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade, University of Oregon.
Moser, S., 2004: The Contextual Importance of Uncertainty in Climate-Sensitive Decision-Making: Toward an Integrative Decision-Centered Screening Tool. Working Paper for the Weather and Climate Impacts Assessment Science Initiative. Boulder, CO: ESIG/NCAR.
Moser, S., 2004: California coastal futures. PACLIM XXI Proceedings (accepted for publication).
Moser, S., 2004: Climate Change Scenarios and Projections: The Known, the Unknown, and the Unknowable -- Applied to California. Summary report of Aspen Global Change Institute Workshop, held 11-14 March 2004 (in press).
Nychka, D., and C. Tebaldi, 2003: Comment on "Calculation of Average, Uncertainty Range and Reliability of Regional Climate Changes on AOGCM Simulations Via the REA Method." J. Climate, 16(5), 883-884.
Shui, B., 2004: Re-estimation and reflection: The role of consumer demand in U.S. energy use and CO2 emissions. ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings. Washington, DC: ACEEE (American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy).
Tebaldi, C., D. Nychka, and L.O. Mearns, 2004: From global mean responses to regional signals of climate change: Simple pattern scaling, its limitations (or lack of) and the uncertainty in its results. In: Proceedings of the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, AMS Annual Meeting, Seattle, WA.