Publications

university collaborators (bold) and
non-NCAR or other collaborators(*)

REFEREED

*Ackerman, T. P., A. J. Braverman, D. J. Diner, T. L. Anderson, R. A. Kahn, J. V. Martonchik, J. E. Penner, P. J. Rasch, *B. A. Wielicki, and B. Yu. 2004: Integrating and interpreting aerosol observations and models within the PARAGON framework. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,85, 1523–1533.

Ammann, C., G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, and *C. Zender, 2003: A monthly and latitudinally varying volcanic forcing dataset in simulations of 20th century climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, DOI: 10.1029/2003GL016875RR.

Anderson, J., *V. Balaji, *A. J. Broccoli, *W. F. Cooke, *T. L. Delworth, *K. W. Dixon, *L. J. Donner, *K. A. Dunne, *S. M. Freidenreich, *S. T. Garner, *R. G. Gudgel, *C. T. Gordon, *I. M. Held, *R. S. Hemler, *L. W. Horowitz, *S. A. Klein, *T. R. Knutson, *P. J. Kushner, *A. R. Langenhorst, *N. -C. Lau, *Z. Liang, *S. L. Malyshev, *P. C. D. Milly, *M. J. Nath, *J. J. Ploshay, *V. Ramaswamy, *M. D. Schwarzkopf, *E. Shevliakova, *J. J. Sirutis, *B. J. Soden, *W. F. Stern, *L. A. Thompson, *R. John Wilson, *A. T. Wittenberg, and *B. L. Wyman, 2004: The new GFDL global atmosphere and land model AM2/LM2: Evaluation with prescribed SST simulations. J. Climate, in press.

Barreiro, M. , *A. Giannini, P. Chang, and R. Saravanan, 2004: On the role of the Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric circulation in tropical Atlantic variability. To appear in the AGU Geophysical Monograph on Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Variability. C.Wang, S.-P. Xie, and J. Carton, eds.

*Barnett, *T., R. Malone, *W. Pennell, *D. Stammer, *A. Semtner, and W. Washington, 2004: The effects of climate change on water resources in the west: Introduction and Overview. Clim. Change, 62, 1-11.

Bengtsson, T., C. Snyder, and D. Nychka, 2003: Toward a nonlinear ensemble filter for high-dimensional systems. J. Geophys. Res., 108, DOI: 10.1029/2002JD002900.

Bonan, G. B., S. Levis, M. Vertenstein, and K. W. Oleson, 2003: A dynamic global vegetation model for use with climate models: concepts and description of simulated vegetation dynamics. Global Change Biology, 9, 1543-1566.

Bond-Lamberty, B., S. T. Gower, D. Ahl, and P. E. Thornton, 2004: A reimplementation of the Biome-BGC model supporting multiple interacting vegetation types. Tree Physiology, in press.

*Braganza, K., *Karoly, D. J., Arblaster, J. M., 2004: Diurnal temperature range as an index of global climate change during the twentieth century Geophys.Res. Lett., 31:13, L13217 10.1029/2004GL019998. Branstator, G. and J. Berner, 2004: Linear and nonlinear signatures in the planetary wave dynamics of an AGCM: Phase space tendencies. J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

Branstator, G. and J. Frederiksen, 2003: The seasonal cycle of interannual variability and the dynamical imprint of the seasonally varying mean state. J. Atmos. Sci.,60, 1577-1592.

Cassou C., *L. Terray, J. W. Hurrell, and C. Deser, 2004: North Atlantic winter climate regimes: spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time and oceanic forcing. J. Climate, 17, 1055–1068.

Cassou, C., C. Deser, *L. Terray, J. W. Hurrell, and *M. Drevillon, 2004: Summer sea surface temperature conditions in the North Atlantic and their impact upon the atmospheric circulation in early winter. J. Climate, 17, 3349–3363.

Chang, P ., R. Saravanan, F. Wang, L. Ji, and *T. DelSole, 2004: Predictability of linear coupled systems. Part I: Theoretical Analyses. J. Climate,17, 1474-1486.

Chang, P ., R. Saravanan, F. Wang, and L. Ji, 2004: Predictability of linear coupled systems. Part II: An application to a simple model of Tropical Atlantic variability. J. Climate,17, 1487-1503.

Cionni, I., G. Visconti , and F. Sassi, 2004: Fluctuation dissipation theorem in a general circulation model. Geophys. Res. Lett.,31, L09206, doi:10.1029/2004GL019739.

Collins, W. D., 2004: Unresolved issues in atmospheric solar absorption. Frontiers in the Science of Climate Modeling, J. T. Kiehl and V. Ramanathan, Eds., Cambridge University Press, in press. Dai, A. and K. E. Trenberth, 2004: The diurnal cycle and its depiction in the Community Climate System Model. J. Climate, 17, 930–951.

Dai, A., K. E. Trenberth, and T. Qian, 2004: A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870–2002: Relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. J. Hydrometeor., in press.

Dai, A., W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, T. W. Bettge, and W. G. Strand, 2004: The ACPI climate change simulations. Climatic Change, 62, 29–43.

Dai, A., P. J. Lamb, K. E. Trenberth, M. Hulme, P. D. Jones, and *P. Xie, 2004: The recent Sahel drought is real. Comment in Int. J. Climatol., 24, 1323–1331.

Dai, A., A. Hu, G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, and W.G. Strand, 2004: North Atlantic Ocean circulation changes in a millennial control run and projected future climates. J. Climate, in press.

Dai, Y. J. , X. B. Zeng, R. E. Dickinson, I. Baker, G. B. Bonan, *M. G. Bosilovich, A. S. Denning, *P. A. Dirmeyer, *P. R. Houser, G. Y. Niu, K. W. Oleson, C. A. Schlosser, and Z. L. Yang, 2003: The Common Land Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84, 1013-+.

Danabasoglu, G., 2004: A comparison of global ocean general circulation model solutions obtained with synchronous and accelerated integration methods. Ocean Modelling, 7, 323-341.

Deser, C., G. Magnusdottir, R. Saravanan, and A. Phillips, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea-ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3: Part II: Direct and indirect components of the response. J. Climate,17, 877-889.

Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, and J. W. Hurrell, 2004: Pacific interdecadal climate variability: linkages between the tropics and the North Pacific during Boreal winter since 1900. J Climate, 17, 3109–3124.

Dilling, L., S. C. Doney, J. Edmonds, K. R. Gurney, R. Harriss, D. Schimel, and B. Stephens, G. Stokes, 2003: The role of carbon cycle observations and knowledge in carbon management. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 28, 521-558.

Diner, D. J ., *T. P. Ackerman, T. L. Anderson, *J. Bösenberg, A. J. Braverman, R. J. Charlson, W. D. Collins, R. Davies, *B. N. Holben, *C. A. Hostetler, R. A. Kahn, J. V. Martonchik, R. T. Menzies, *M. A. Miller, *J. A. Ogren, J. E. Penner, P. J. Rasch, *S. E. Schwartz, J. H. Seinfeld, G. L. Stephens, O. Torres, *L. D. Travis, *B. A. Wielicki, and B. Yu. 2004: PARAGON: An integrated approach for characterizing aerosol climate impacts and environmental interactions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,85, 1491–1501.

Diner, D. J., R. T. Menzies, R. A. Kahn, T. L. Anderson , *J. Bösenberg, R. J. Charlson, *B. N. Holben, *C. A. Hostetler, *M. A. Miller, *J. A. Ogren, G. L. Stephens, O. Torres, *B. A. Wielicki, P. J. Rasch, *L. D. Travis, and W. D. Collins. 2004: Using the PARAGON framework to establish an accurate, consistent, and cohesive long-term aerosol record. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 1535–1548.

*Doney, S. C., and J. A. Kleypas, Eds., 2004: The US JGOFS Synthesis and Modeling Project: Phase II. Deep-Sea Research Part II, 50, 2847-3226.

*Doney, S. C., K. Lindsay, *K. Caldeira, J.-M. Campin, *H. Drange, *et al., 2004: Evaluating global ocean carbon models: the importance of realistic physics. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18, GB3017, doi:1029/2003GB002150. Duane, G., and J. J. Tribbia, 2004: Weak Atlantic-Pacific Teleconnections as Synchronized Chaos. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 2149-2168. Dubois, T ., F. Jauberteau, R. Temam, and J. Tribbia, 2004: Different time schemes to compute large and small scales for the shallow water problem. J. Comp. Phys., in press.

Fasullo, J., 2004: Biennial characteristics of Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 17, 2972–2982.

*Foukal, P., G. North, andT. M. L. Wigley, 2004: A stellar view on solar variations and climate. Science, 306, 68–69.

Fournier, A., *M. A. Taylor, and J. J. Tribbia, 2004: The spectral element atmospheric model: High-resolution parallel computation and response to regional forcing. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 726-748.

*Frederiksen, J. and G. Branstator, 2004: Seasonal variability of teleconnection patterns. J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

Furrer, R., 2004: Covariance estimation under spatial dependence. J. Multivariate Analysis, in press.

Gent, P. R. and G. Danabasoglu, 2004: Heat uptake and the thermohaline circulation in the Community Climate System Model, version two. J. Climate, in press.

Gettelman, A., 2003: The information divide in the climate sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1703-1709.

Gettelman A., P. M. de F. Forster, M. Fujiwara, Q. Fu,*H. Vömel, L. K. Gohar, C. Johanson, and M. Ammerman, 2004: Radiation balance of the tropical tropopause layer. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D07103, doi:10.1029/2003JD004190.

Gettelman A., D. E. Kinnison, *T. J. Dunkerton, and *G. P. Brasseur, 2004: Impact of monsoon circulations on the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D22101, doi:10.1029/2004JD004878.

*Giannini, A., R. Saravanan, P. Chang, 2004: The preconditioning role of Tropical Atlantic Variability in the development of the ENSO teleconnection: implications for the prediction of Nordeste rainfall. Climate Dynamics, in press.

Hand, J. L. , N. M. Mahowald, Y. Chen, R. L. Siefert, C. Luo, A. Subramaniam, and I. Fung, 2004: Estimates of atmospheric-processed soluble iron from observations and a global mineral aerosol model: Biogeochemical implications. J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2004JD004574, vol. 109, D17205.

*Hanson, P. J., *J. S. Amthor, *S. D. Wullschleger, *K. B. Wilson, R. F. Grant, A. Hartley, D. Hui, E. R. Hunt Jr., D. W. Johnson, J. S. Kimball , *A. W. King, *Y. Luo, *S. G. McNulty, G. Sun, P. E. Thornton, S. Wang, M. Williams, D. D. Baldocchi, R. M. Cushman , 2004: Oak forest carbon and water simulations: model intercomparisons and evaluations against independent data. Ecological Monographs, 74 (3): 443-489.

Harvey, L. D. D. , and T. M. L. Wigley, 2003: Characterizing and comparing the control run variability of eight coupled AOGCMs and of observations. Part 1: temperature. Climate Dyn., 21 , 619–646.

Hasenauer, H., K. Merganicova, R. Petritsch, S. Pietsch, and P. E. Thornton, 2003: Validating daily climate interpolations of complex terrain in Austria. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology119, 87-107.

Gettelman, A., 2003: The information divide in the climate sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1703-1709.

Hoar, T. J., *R. F. Milliff, D. Nychka, C. K. Wikle, and L. M. Berliner, 2003: Winds from a Bayesian hierarchical model: Computation for atmosphere-ocean research. J. Comp. Graphical Statistics, 12, 781–807.

*Hoerling, M. P., J. W. Hurrell, *T. Xu, *G. T. Bates, and A. S. Phillips, 2004: Twentieth century North Atlantic climate change. Part II: Understanding the effect of Indian Ocean warming. Climate Dyn., 23, 391–405.

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, and W. Han, 2004: Detecting thermohaline circulation changes from ocean properties in a coupled model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL020218.

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, and A. Dai, 2004: Response of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to increased atmospheric CO 2 in a coupled model. J. Climate, in press.

Hurrell, J. W., 2004: The North Atlantic Oscillation. Encyclopedia of World Climates. J. E. Oliver, Ed., Kluwer Press, in press.

Hurrell, J. W., M. P. Hoerling, A. Phillips, and T. Xu, 2004: Twentieth Century North Atlantic climate change. Part I: Assessing determinism. Climate Dyn., 23, 371–389.

Hurrell, J. W., and *R. R. Dickson, 2004: Climate variability over the North Atlantic. Marine Ecosystems and Climate Variation - the North Atlantic, N. C. Stenseth, G. Ottersen, J. W. Hurrell, and A. Belgrano, Eds., Oxford University Press, 15–32.

Jones, C. , N. M. Mahowald, and C. Luo, 2004: Observational evidence of African desert dust intensification of easterly waves. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2004GL020107, vol. 31, L17208.

Jones, C. , N. M. Mahowald, and C. Luo, 2003: The role of easterly waves on African desert dust transport. Journal of Climate, 16, 3617-3628.

Joos, F ., *S. Gerber, *I. C. Prentice, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, and *P. J. Valdes, 2004: Transient simulations of Holocene atmospheric carbon dioxide and terrestrial carbon since the Last Glacial Maximum. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18, GB2002, DOI: 10.1029/2003GB002156.

Kasahara, A., 2003: On the nonhydrostatic atmospheric models with inclusion of the horizontal component of the Earth's angular velocity. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, 81, 935-950.

Kasahara, A., 2004: Free oscillations of deep nonhydrostatic global atmospheres: Theory and test of numerical schemes. NCAR Technical Report, NCAR/TN-457+STR, pp 69.

Kasahara, A., 2004: Reply to 'Comments on: "The roles of the horizontal components of the Earth's angular velocity in nonhydrostatic linear models”. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1987-1991.

*Karl, T. R., and K. E. Trenberth, 2003: Modern global climate change. Science, 302, 1719-1723.

*Karl, T. R., and K. E. Trenberth, 2004: What is climate change? Climate Change and Biodiversity, L. Hannah and T. E. Lovejoy, Eds., Yale University Press, in press.

*Karoly D. J., K. *Braganza, *P. A Stott, J. M. Arblaster, G. A. Meehl, *A. J. Broccoli, *K. W. Dixon, 2003: Detection of a Human Influence on North American Climate. Science,302, 1200-1203.

*Kaufman, D. S., *T. A. Ager, *N. J. Anderson, *P. M. Anderson, *J. T. Andrews, *P. J. Bartlein, *L. B. Brubaker, *L. L. Coats, *L. C. Cwynar, *M. L. Duvall, *A. S. Dyke, *M. E. Edwards, *W. R. Eisner, *K. Gajewski, *A. Geirsdttir, *F. S. Hu, *A. E. Jennings,*M. R. Kaplan, *M. W. Kerwin. *A. V. Lozhkin, *G. M. MacDonald, G. H. Miller, *C. J. Mock, *W. W. Oswald, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, *D. F. Porinchu, *K. Rhland, *J. P. Smol, *E. J. Steig, and *B. B. Wolfe, 2004: Holocene thermal maximum in the western Arctic. Quatern. Sci. Rev., 23, 529-560.

Kiehl, J. T. and P. R. Gent, 2004: The Community Climate System Model, version two. J. Climate, in press.

*Koster, R. D., *P. A. Dirmeyer, Z. C. Guo, G. Bonan, *E. Chan, *P. Cox, C. T. Gordon, *S. Kanae, *E. Kowalczyk, D. Lawrence, *P. Liu, *C. H. Lu, *S. Malyshev, *B. McAvaney, *K. Mitchell, *D. Mocko, *T. Oki, K. Oleson, A. Pitman, *Y. C. Sud, *C. M. Taylor, *D. Verseghy, *R. Vasic, Y. K. Xue, and *T. Yamada, 2004: Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation. Science, 305, 1138-1140.

*Kupper, T., *J. D. Berset, *R. Etter-Holzer, R. Furrer, and *J. Tarradellas, 2004: Concentrations and specific loads of polycyclic musks in sewage sludge originating from a monitoring metwork in Switzerland. Chemosphere, 54, 1111-1120.

Kwon, Y-O., K. Kim, *Y-G. Kim, and K-R. Kim, 2004: Diagnosing long-term trends of the water mass properties in the East Sea (Sea of Japan). Geophys. Res. Lett., in press. Kwon, Y-O., and S. C. Riser, 2004: North Atlantic subtropical mode water: A history of ocean-atmospheric interaction 1961-2000. Geophys. Res. Lett., in press.

*Leung, L.R., *Y. Qian, *X. Bian, Warren M. Washington, *J. Han, *J.O. Roads, 2004: Mid-Century Ensemble Regional Climate Change Scenarios for the Western United States. Climatic Change, 62, 75-113.

Levis, S., G. B. Bonan, M. Vertenstein, and K. W. Oleson, 2004: The Community Land Model's Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (CLM-DGVM): Technical Description and User's Guide, NCAR TECHNICAL NOTE, NCAR/TN-459+IA, 50 pp.

Levis, S., and G. B. Bonan, 2004: Prognostic leaf area helps simulate observed springtime temperature patterns in the Community Atmosphere Model coupled to the Community Land Model. J. Climate, in press.

Levis, S., C. Wiedinmyer, G. B. Bonan, and A. Guenther, 2003: Simulating biogenic volatile organic compound emissions in the Community Climate System Model. Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, 108, Art. No. 4659.

Liu H., and *X. Zou, 2003: Improvements to a GPS radio occultation ray-tracing model and their impacts on assimilation of bending angle. 108, J. Geophys. Res. D17, 4548, doi:10.1029/2002JD003160.

Liu, P ., G. A. Meehl and *G. Wu, 2003: Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO 2. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, DOI 10.1029/2002GL015923.

Liu, X. J. , M. Walsh, X. T. Ju, F. S. Zhang, D. Schimel, and D. Ojima, 2004: NO and N2) fluxes from agricultural soils in Beijing area. Progress in Natural Science, 14, 489-494.

*Liu, Z., B. Otto-Bliesner, J, Kutzbach, *L. Li, and C. Shields, 2003: Coupled climate simulation of the evolution of global monsoons in the Holocene. J. Climate, 16, 2472-2490.

*Loschnigg, J., G. A. Meehl, *P. J. Webster, J. M. Arblaster, and *G. P. Compo, 2003: The Asian monsoon, the tropospheric biennial oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole in the NCAR CSM. J. Climate, 16, 2138-2158.

Luo, C. , N. M. Mahowald, and J. del Corral, 2003: Sensitivity study of meteorological parameters on mineral aerosol mobilization, transport, and distribution. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 108, Art. No. 4447.

Madden, R. A., and *P. Jullian, 2004: Historical Perspective. Intraseasonal Variability of the Atmosphere-Ocean Climate System, W. Lau and D. Waliser, Eds., Praxis, in press.

Magnusdottir, G. , C. Deser, and R. Saravanan, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main features and storm track characteristics of the response. J. Climate, 17, 857–876.

Mahowald, N., C. Luo. 2003. A less dusty future? Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 10.1029/2003GLO17880.

Mahowald, N., and J. L. Dufresne, 2004: Sensitivity of TOMS aerosol index to boundary layer height: Implications for detection of mineral aerosol sources. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, 10.1029/2003GL018865.

Matsumoto, K., *et al., 2004: Evaluation of ocean carbon cycle models with data-based metrics. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L07303, doi:10.1029/2003GL018970.

Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, J. M. Arblaster, and A. Hu, 2004: Factors affecting climate sensitivity in global coupled models. J. Climate, 17, 1584–1596.

Meehl, G. A., and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305, 994–997.

Meehl, G. A., C. Tebaldi, and D. Nychka, 2004: Changes in frost days in simulations of 21st century climate. Climate Dyn.,23, 495–511.

Meehl, G. A., W. M. Washington, C. Ammann, J. M. Arblaster, T. M. L. Wigley, and C. Tebaldi, 2004: Combinations of natural and anthropogenic forcings and 20 th century climate. J. Climate, in press.

Monahan, A. H ., and A. Dai, 2004: The spatial and temporal structure of ENSO nonlinearity. J. Climate, 17, 3026-3036. M oore, K ., *S. Doney, and K. Lindsay, 2004: Upper ocean ecosystems dynamics and iron cycling in a global 3D model. GlobalBiogeochemical Cycles, accepted for publication. Morrill, C. 2004; The influence of Asian summer monsoon variability on the water balance of a Tibetan lake. Journal of Paleolimnology,32: 273-286. *Navarra, A., and J. Tribbia, 2004: The Coupled Manifold. J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

Newton, C. W., 2004: Associations between twice-yearly oscillations of the North Pacific cyclone track and upper-tropospheric circulations over the Eastern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 348–367.

Okin, G. S. , N. Mahowald, O. A. Chadwick, and P. Artaxo, 2004: Impact of desert dust on the biogeochemistry of phosphorus in terrestrial ecosystems. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18, Art. No. GB2005.

Oleson, K. W., G. B. Bonan, S. Levis, and M. Vertenstein, 2004: Effects of land use change on North American climate: impact of surface datasets and model biogeophysics. Climate Dynamics, 23, 117-132.

*Ottersen, G., N. C. Stenseth, and J. W. Hurrell, 2004: Climatic fluctuations and marine systems: A general introduction to the ecological effects. Marine Ecosystems and Climate Variation: The North Atlantic. N. C. Stenseth, G. Ottersen, J. W. Hurrell, and A. Belgrano, Eds., Oxford University Press, 3–14.

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., E. C. Brady, *S. Shin, *Z. Liu, and C. Shields, 2003: Modeling El Niño and its teleconnections during the last glacial-interglacial cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 2198, DOI: 10.1029/2003GL018553.

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., and *A. C. Clement, 2004: The sensitivity of the Hadley circulation to past and future forcings in two climate models. The Hadley Circulation: Past, Present, and Future, H. Diaz and R. Bradley (eds.), Cambridge University Press, in press.

Park, S., 2004: Remote ENSO influence on Mediterranean sky conditions during late summer and autumn: evidence for a slowly evolving atmospheric bridge. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., in press.

Park, S., and C. B. Leovy, 2004: Marine low-cloud anomalies associated with ENSO. J. Climate, 17, 3448–3469. Park, S., C. B. Leovy, and M. A. Rozendaal, 2004: A new heuristic lagrangian marine boundary layer cloud model. J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

Pendall, E., S. Bridgham , *P. J. Hanson, B. Hungate, D. W. Kicklighter, D. W. Johnson, B. E. Law, Y. Luo, P. Megonigal, M. Olsrud, M. G. Ryan , P. E. Thornton, S. Wan , 2004: Belowground process responses to elevated CO2 and temperature: a discussion of observations, measurement methods, and models. New Phytologist, in press.

Pietsch, S. A., H. Hasenauer , and P. E. Thornton, 2004: BGC-model parameters for tree species growing in Central European forests. Forest Ecology and Management, in review. *Richard E. C., *K. C. Aikin, *E. A. Ray, *K. H. Rosenlof, *T. L. Thompson, A. Weinheimer, D. Montzka, D. Knapp, B. Ridley, and A. Gettelman, 2003: The distribution and variability of ozone in the summer sub-tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere: Large-scale equatorial transport during CRYSTAL-FACE. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4714, doi:10.1029/2003JD003884.

*Rodwell, M. J., *M. Drévillon, C. Frankignoul, J. W. Hurrell, *H. Pohlmann, *M. Stendel, and R. T. Sutton, 2004: North Atlantic forcing of climate and its uncertainty from a multi-model experiment. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 2013–2032.

Rousseau, A ., R. Temam, and J. Tribbia, 2004: Boundary layers in an ocean related system. J. Scientific Comp., in press.

*Saiki, E., R. Kerr, and W. G. Large, 2003: Direct numerical simulations of three-dimensional thermohaline fingering in the ocean. J ournal of Physical Oceanography , submitted.

*Santer, B. D., *M. F. Wehner, T. M. L. Wigley, R. Sausen, G. A. Meehl, *K. E. Taylor, C. Ammann, J. Arblaster, W. M. Washington, *J. S. Boyle, and W. Brüggemann, 2004: Response to comment by Pielke and Chase on “Contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing to recent tropopause height changes”. Science , 303, 1771.

*Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, G. A. Meehl, *M. F. Wehner, *C. Mears, *M. Schabel, *F. J. Wentz, C. Ammann, J. Arblaster, T. Bettge, W. M. Washington, *K. E. Taylor, *J. S. Boyle, W. Bruggemann , and *C. Doutriaux, 2004: Reliability of satellite datasets: Response to comments by Christy and Spencer. Science, 301 , 1047–1050.

*Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, *A. J. Simmons, *P. Kållberg, *G. A. Kelly, *S. Uppala, C. Ammann, *J. S. Boyle, W. Bruggemann , *C. Doutriaux, M. Fiorino, *C. Mears, G. A. Meehl, *R. Sausen, *K. E. Taylor, W. M. Washington, *M. F. Wehner, and *F. J. Wentz, 2004: Identification of human-induced climate change in a second-generation reanalysis. J. Geophys. Res., in press.

Saravanan, R., and P. Chang, 2004: Thermodynamic coupling and predictability of tropical sea surface temperature. To appear in the AGU Geophysical Monograph on Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Variability. C. Wang, S.-P. Xie, and J. Carton, eds.

Sarmiento, J. L. , *et al., 2004: Response of ocean ecosystems to climate warming. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18, GB3003, doi:1029/2003GB002134.

Schimel, D., 2004: Nutrient cycling and limitation: Hawai’i as a model system. Nature, 431, 630-631.

Schimel, D., 2004: The large-scale biosphere-atmosphere experiment in the Amazon. Ecological Applications, 14, S1-S2 Suppl. S.

*Selten, F. and. G. Branstator, 2004: Preferred regime transition routes and evidence and evidence for an unstable periodic orbit in a baroclinic model. J. Atmos. Sci., in press.

*Schneider, E., *D. DeWitt, *A. Rosati, *B. Kirtman, *M. Ji, and J.Tribbia, 2003: Retrospective ENSO forecasts: sensitivity to atmospheric model and ocean resolution . Mon. Wea. Rev.,131, 3038-3060.

Schneider, U., and J. N. Corcoran, 2004: Perfect sampling for Bayesian variable selection in a linear regression model. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, in press.

*Selten, F., and G. Branstator, 2004: Preferred regime transition routes and evidence and evidence for an unstable periodic orbit in a baroclinic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 2267-2282. *Selten, F., G. Branstator, *H. Dijkstra, and *M. Kliphuis, 2004: Tropical origins for recent and future Northern Hemisphere climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., in press.

*Smith, R. D. and P. R. Gent, 2003: Anisotropic GM Parameterization for ocean models. J ournal of Physical Oceanography , accepted for publication.

Stammer, D. , K. Ueyoshi, A. Köhl, W. G. Large, *S. A. Josey, and C. Wunsch, 2004: Estimating air-sea fluxes of heat, freshwater, and momentum through global ocean data assimilation. J. Geophys. Res., 109, C05023, doi:10.1029/2003JC002082.

*Stockwell, R. G., W. G. Large, and *R. F. Milliff, 2004: Resonant inertial oscillations in moored buoy ocean surface winds. Tellus, in press.

Stenseth, N. C. , *A. Shabbar, K-S. Chan, S. Boutin, E. K. Rueness, D. Ehrich, J. W. Hurrell, O. C.Lingjaerde, and K. S. Jakobsen, 2004: Snow conditions may create an invisible barrier for lynx. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 101, 10 632–10 634.

Stenseth, N. C. , *G. Ottersen, J. W. Hurrell, A. Mysterud, M. Lima, K-S. Chan, *N. G. Yoccoz, and *B. Adlandsvik, 2003: Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices: the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Niño Southern Oscillation and beyond. Proceedings Royal Society: Biological Sciences, 270, 2087–2096.

Thornton, P. E., and N. Rosenbloom, 2004: Ecosystem model spin-up: estimating steady state conditions in a coupled terrestrial carbon and nitrogen cycle model. Ecological Modeling, in review.

Tie, X. X., S. Madronich, S. Walters, R. Zhang, P. Rasch, and W. D. Collins, 2003: Effect of clouds on photolysis and oxidants in the troposphere. J. Geophys. Res., 108, doi:10.1029/2003JD003659.

Tian, Y ., R. E. Dickinson, L. Zhou, X. Zeng, Y. Dai, R. B. Myneni, Y. Knyazikhin, X. Zhang, M. Friedl, H. Yu, W. Wu, and M. Shaikh, 2004: Comparison of seasonal and spatial variations of leaf area index and fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Common Land Model. J. Geophys. Res., 109(D1), doi:10.1029/2003JD003777.

Trenberth, K. E., 2004: Earth’s energy balance. Encyclopedia of Energy, C. J. Cleveland Ed., 1, Elsevier Inc., 859–870.

Trenberth, K. E., 2004: Rural land-use change and climate. Nature, 427, 213-214. Trenberth, K. E., and L. Smith, 2004: The mass of the atmosphere: A constraint on global analyses. J. Climate, in press. Trenberth, K. E., and D. P. Stepaniak, 2004: The flow of energy through the Earth’s climate system. Symons Lecture 2004. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., in press.

Trenberth, K., J. Overpeck, and *S. Solomon, 2004: Exploring drought and its implications for the future. Eos, 85, 27.

Trenberth, K. E., D. P. Stepaniak, and L. Smith, 2004: Interannual variability of the mass of the atmosphere. J. Climate, in press.

Tribbia, J. J., and D. P. Baumhefner, 2003: Scale interactions and atmospheric predictability: An updated perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 703-713.

van Loon, H., G. A. Meehl, and *R. Milliff, 2003: The Southern Oscillation in the early 1990s. Geophys. Res.h Lett., 30, doi: 10.1029/2002GL016307.

van Loon, H., G. A. Meehl, and J. M. Arblaster, 2004: A decadal solar effect in the tropics in July-August. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, in press.

*Waliser, D. E., *K. Jin, *I.-S. Kang, *W. F. Stern, *S. D. Schubert, *M. L. C. Wu, *K.-M. Lau, *M.-I. Lee, *V. Krishnamurthy, *A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, *V. Y. Galin, *V. Satyan, *S. K. Mandke, *G. Wu, *Y. Liu, and *C.-K. Park, 2003: AGCM simulations of intraseasonal variability associated with the Asian summer monsoon. Clim. Dyn., 21, 10.1007/s00382-003-0337-1.

Wang, G. L. , D. Schimel, 2003: Climate change, climate modes, and climate impacts. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 28, 1-28.

Washington, W. M., A. Dai, and G. A. Meehl, 2004: Climate Change Modeling: A Brief History of the Theory and Recent 21st Century Ensemble Simulations. In: Frontiers in the Science of Climate Modeling, J.T. Kiehl and V. Ramanathan (eds.), Cambridge University Press, in press. Washington, W. M. and *C. L. Parkinson, 2004: An Introduction to Three-Dimensional Climate Modeling, 2 nd Edition. University Science Books, in press.

Whitcher, B., 2004: Wavelet-based estimation for seasonal long-memory processes. Technometrics, 46, 225–238.

Wigley, T. M. L., 2004: Choosing a stabilization target for CO 2. Climatic Change, in press.

Wigley, T. M. L., 2004: Modeling climate change under no-policy and policy emissions pathways. Benefits of Climate Policies: Improving Information for Policymakers, OECD, Paris, in press

Wu, W., A. H. Lynch, and A. Rivers, 2004: Estimating uncertainty in a regional climate model related to initial and lateral boundary conditions. Journal of Climate, accepted for publication.

Xie, S., M. Zhang, et al. 2004: Impact of a revised convective triggering mechanism on CAM2 simulations: Results from short-range weather forecasts, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D14102, doi:10.1029/2004JD004692.

Yin, J. H., and D. S. Battisti, 2004: Why do baroclinic waves tilt poleward with height? J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1454–1460.

Yeager, S. G., and W. G. Large, 2004: Late winter generation of spiciness on subducted isopycnals. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 34, 1528-1547.

*Zou X., Liu H., R. A. Anthes, *H. Shao, *J. C. Chang, and *Y. J. Zhu, 2004: Impact of CHAMP radio occultation observation on global analyses and forecasts in the absence of AMSU radiance data. J. Meteor. Soc. of Japan, 82, 533-549.

Non referreed

Arkin, P ., E. Kalnay, *J. Laver, *S. Schubert, and K. Trenberth, 2004: Ongoing analysis of the climate system: A workshop report. Boulder, CO, NOAA, NASA and NSF, 48 pp.

*Braconnot, P., *S. Joussaume, *S. Harrison, *C. Hewitt, *P. Valdes, *G. Ramstein, *R. J. Stouffer, B. Otto-Bliesner, and *K. Taylor, 2004: The second phase of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIPII). CLIVAR Exchanges, 28, 19-20.

Briegleb, B. P., * et al. , 2004: The sea ice simulation of the Community Climate System Model, version two. NCAR Technical Note, NCAR/TN-455+STR, 34 pp.

Briegleb, B. P., C. M. Bitz, *E. C. Hunke, *W. H. Lipscomb, M. M. Holland, J. L. Schramm, and R. E. Moritz, 2004: Scientific description of the sea ice component in the Community Climate System Model, Version Three. NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-463+STR, 70 pp.

Large, W. G., and S. G. Yeager , 2004: Diurnal to decadal global forcing for ocean and sea-ice models: the data sets and flux climatologies. NCAR Technical Note, NCAR/TN-460+STR, 111 pp.

Overpeck, J. , and K. E. Trenberth, 2004: A multi-millennia perspective on drought and implications for the future. CLIVAR-PAGES-IPCCWorkshop. Tucson, AZ., WMO UNEP, 30 pp.

*Pereira, J., I. Wainer, E. Brady, and B. Otto-Bliesner, 2004: A study of Antarctic circumpolar wave in the Community Coupled Climate Model. CLIVAR Exchanges, 28, 3-5.

*Santer, B. D., andT. M. L. Wigley, 2004: New fingerprints of human effects on climate. Proc. International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies, 30 th Session, R. Ragaini, Ed., World Scientific Publishing, Singapore, pp. 69–85.

Trenberth, K. E., 2004: The role of the ocean in climate. Annual Report of the State of the Ocean and Ocean Observing System for Climate, Office of Climate Observation, Office of Global Programs, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 1–6.

Trenberth K. E., 2004: Manifestations of global climate change on accelerating the hydrological cycle: prospects for increasing extremes. Proc. 2nd Intl. CAHMDA Workshop on: The Terrestrial Water Cycle:Modelling and Data Assimilation Across Catchment Scales, A. J. Teuling, H. Leijnse, P. A. Troch, J. Sheffield, and E. F. Wood, Eds., Princeton, N.J., 33–35.

Trenberth, K. E., et al., 2004: A multi-millennia perspective on drought and implications for the future. CLIVAR/PAGES/IPCC Workshop, Tucson, AZ, WMO UNEP, 37 pp.

Trenberth K. E., 2004: Manifestations of global climate change on accelerating the hydrological cycle: prospects for increasing extremes. Proc. 2nd Intl. CAHMDA Workshop on: The Terrestrial Water Cycle:Modelling and Data Assimilation Across Catchment Scales, edited by A. J. Teuling, H. Leijnse, P. A. Troch, J. Sheffield, and E. F. Wood, Princeton, N.J., 33–35.

Wigley, T. M. L., 2004: Simple climate models. Proc. International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies, 31 st Session, in press.

Publications

university collaborators (bold) and non-NCAR or other collaborators(*)

REFEREED

university collaborators (bold) and
non-NCAR or other collaborators(*)